MARKET NEWS

TankerS

Tanker markets rise as LR2s surge and geopolitics support the market.

Last week LR2 rates surged higher resulting from a supply shortage in the vessel segment which currently experiences very high levels of utilization. The move in LR2 rates also had a positive effect on remaining vessel segments in crude tanker and product tanker markets.

“Ukraine attacks on Russian oil refineries likely to increase crude exports”

Ukraine have been attacking Russian oil refineries with long range drone attacks and following fresh attacks over the weekend, its drones have hit 12 Russian refineries. Russia is the #2 exporter of refined products after the US, but critically for the crude tanker market, Russia has very little oil storage making the export market the likely destination for its crude which can no longer be directed to its destroyed/damaged refineries.

The Houthi’s, the group responsible for vessel attacks driving widespread avoidance of the Red Sea, announced they are ramping up their ambitions, following the addition of hypersonic missiles to their arsenal, according to Splash247. The Houthi’s are looking to expand their attacks deeper into the Indian Ocean to try and prevent vessels from passing Africa via the Cape of Good Hope. This would likely bring even greater dislocation to the market if they are successful with their expanded ambitions.

Dry Bulk

Bulk markets generally strong with Capesize taking a slight step back following its surge higher.

Capesize rates surged two weeks ago, taking a small step back last week but maintaining very high levels compared to the last two years. Capesize activity levels eased slightly following as strong start to the week.

“Bulk markets remain firm but taking a slight step off the gas”

Panamax rates moved higher last week following strong demand, particularly in the Atlantic. Activity was somewhat more subdued in the Pacific, but with a stable underlying level of enquiry. Handy rates moved slightly higher, but were mostly flat, with relatively strong demand in the East Coast of South America, and a more mixed sentiment in the Pacific.

Freight rate

$ 0 /day

Capesize, 12 months TC

$ 0 /day

Kamsarmax, 12 months TC

Source: Clarksons Research

car carrier

China remains the key driver of vehicle export growth so far in 2024.

Clarksons Research report that vehicle sales in China climbed almost 11% year-on-year in the first two years of 2024. They also echoed the message that Chinese vehicle producers, and particularly electric vehicle (EV) producers, are turning to export markets as they face domestic consumer weakness and price pressure, increasing the attractiveness of export markets. As a result, Clarksons reported year-on-year vehicle export growth of 18% from China for the first two months of the year.

The PCTC market, which has been undersupplied since 2021, therefore continues to see strong markets ahead. The market is also supported by the market dislocations caused by avoidance of the Red Sea, and the partial closure of the Panama Canal, both of which have no near-term solutions.

Freight rate

$ 0 /day

5000 CEU – 12 months TC

$ 0 /day

6500 CEU – 12 months  TC

Source: Lloyds List

Tankers

Indicative TC (1 year)
Type Tons + /-
VLCC
Suemax
Aframax
MR
Indicative Values
Type Resale 5y 10y
VLCC
Suemax
Aframax
MR

Dry Bulk

Indicative TC (1 year)
Type Tons + /-
Capesize
Panamax
Supramax
Handysize
Indicative Values
Type Resale 5y 10y
Capesize
Panamax
Supramax
Handysize

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