MARKET NEWS

TankerS

Scorpio Tankers acquires 4.9% stake in crude carrier owner DHT, citing strong market fundamentals

Donald Trump’s pending return to the White House as the 47th President of the US stunned markets last week, as the Republicans also won the Senate and are on track to win the House of Representatives. The returning President-elect was an ardent oil market supporter on his campaign trail, often ringing out his catch-phrase “drill-baby-drill”. Markets anticipate easier to attain drilling permits under Trump supporting accelerated crude production and export growth.

Some uncertainty remains regarding the exact impact of a Trump Presidency on tanker markets, with the potential to significantly shake up geopolitics, however, analysts are largely optimistic. A sentiment shared by product tanker owner Scorpio Tankers who announced in connection with its Q3 2024 earnings that it has acquired a 4.9% ownership in crude tanker owner DHL. The position cost Scorpio Tankers around USD 90m to accumulate, with the CEO saying “For a few years now, the VLCC market has underperformed itself… We see for the first time that this winter is lining up to be a very strong winter for the crude side”.

Shipbroker Intermodal focused on Canada last week, stating that the TMX pipeline expansion is set to reshape the North American oil landscape, as the TMX pipeline nearly tripled its capacity following project completion, increasing access to international markets for Canadian producers. In October 2024, flows from the TMX pipeline reached 11.3 million barrels per month, a significant increase when considering that prior to June the previous record was 1.5 million barrels.

AMMONIA/LPG CARRIER

Exmar orders six new ammonia/LPG carriers with dual-fuel capabilities

Exmar, a Belgian company specializing in providing floating solutions for the operation, transportation, and transformation of gas, has ordered six new ammonia/LPG carriers in partnership with shipping company Seapeak. The vessels will feature dual-fuel engines two of which running on LPG, and the remaining four capable of ammonia propulsion. Swiss engine manufacturer WinGD and Finnish-based Wärtsilä will deliver the engines and fuel systems respectively to create among the first ammonia-powered vessels on the water.

The project marks a significant advancement in the development of the much-discussed green-ammonia marine ecosystem. The vessels signal a long-term commitment to advancing ammonia, and ammonia powered vessels as part of a more general push for more sustainable shipping, a mission EMF is also supporting.

car carrier

Strong market conditions support high deal values, as rates increase slightly in October

Last week we focused on the earnings of Norwegian-based PCTC owner Wallenius Wilhelmsen and its view that market strength can boost its bargaining power during upcoming contract renegotiations. That is now playing out as the company announced its signing of a multi-year agreement with a major car manufacturer, starting 1st Jan 2025 worth USD 580 million (NOK 6.3 billion), with a term of three years and three months. The news came as Wallenius Wilhelmsen CEO Lasse Kristoffersen was featured in TradeWinds, a leading maritime newspaper, stating that he does not expect a Trump Presidency to hurt the car carrier market.

The other major Norwegian PCTC owner Hoegh Autoliners also shared news with the market lately as it published its trading update for October last week. The company showed the PCTC rates have increased slightly again, posting an average gross freight rate of USD 101.8 cbm, up 0.3% from the Q3 2024 average.

Freight rate

$ 0 /day

5000 CEU – 12 months TC

$ 0 /day

6500 CEU – 12 months  TC

Source: Lloyds List

Tankers

Indicative TC (1 year)
Type Tons + /-
VLCC
Suemax
Aframax
MR
Indicative Values
Type Resale 5y 10y
VLCC
Suemax
Aframax
MR

Dry Bulk

Indicative TC (1 year)
Type Tons + /-
Capesize
Panamax
Supramax
Handysize
Indicative Values
Type Resale 5y 10y
Capesize
Panamax
Supramax
Handysize

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